Republican Primary Election Analysis
After much anticipation, Ryan Data & Research has finally completed the report on who showed up to vote in the 2016 Republican Primary Election.
Over 40% of the votes cast in the Republican Primary came from people who had not voted in a Republican Primary between 2008 and 2014.
Despite the record turnout in the Republican Primary, the numbers could have been higher. Less than half of voters who had voted in only one of the previous four Republican Primaries ended up voting in 2016.
In 2012, there was a 19% drop off in the number of votes cast for president vs those cast for railroad commissioner. In 2016, there was a 27% drop off between the two races.
After early voting, Ryan Data & Research predicted turnout would be 2.7 million voters. Final turnout ended up being 2.8 million voters.
The entire report is available here.